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Crossject

CR
Bloomberg   ALCJ FP
Supergenerics  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
Things are getting going...hopefully
Target
Upside 217%
Price (€) 2.40
Market Cap (€M) 98.9
Perf. 1W: 4.13%
Perf. 1M: 10.9%
Perf. 3M: 26.2%
Perf Ytd: -51.3%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: 0.95%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: 3.42%
Target Change17/07/2024 16:11

We are still believers

Change in Target Price€ 7.89 vs 11.2-29.6%

We have substantially revisited our model on Crossject, including in particular: 1- new assumptions concerning the timing, volumes and prices for the different NTEs (New Therapeutic Entities) to be launched in FY25-28, which appear less optimistic than previously. 2- the dilution from the latest capital increase (€8m at €1.848 per share), 3- slightly more conservative assumptions regarding the working capital needs of the company in the next few years and 4- the €6.9m financing from the French Government, as part of the France 2030 innovation plan announced last week. At the end of the day, our target price resets materially lower but still leaves ample room for the share to outperform.



Change in EPS2024 : € -0.12 vs 0.50ns
2025 : € 0.02 vs 1.05-98.3%

Our EPS goes down with the downward revision of our forecasts mainly based (among others) on a more conservative approach to the timing of the market launches of the group’s NTEs (see also the Target Price section).



Change in NAV€ 10.3 vs 12.5-17.2%

Our NAV valuation, based on future revenue multiples, goes down due to the revision of our forecasts (timing of market launches, working capital needs…). See also the Target Price section for more details.



Change in DCF€ 9.11 vs 14.1-35.5%

Our DCF valuation goes down due to the revision of our forecasts (timing of market launches, capital increase, working capital needs). See also the Target Price section for more details.



Updates

07 Oct 24 EPS change
H1 24: not yet meaningful

25 Sep 24 Earnings/sales releases
H1 24: no real surprise, but a glimpse of disapp...

17 Jul 24 Target Change
We are still believers

05 Jun 24 Financing issue
Success of the capital increase

03 Apr 24 Earnings/sales releases
Patience is a virtue… hopefully

28 Feb 24 Financing issue
Securing the financing needs

08 Feb 24 Strategic Plan
No news is not always good news...

03 Jan 24 Other news/comments
A new distribution agreement in Northern Europe

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