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Crossject

CR
Bloomberg   ALCJ FP
Supergenerics  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
Things get going
Target
Upside 234%
Price (€) 3.43
Market Cap (€M) 125
Perf. 1W: -19.5%
Perf. 1M: -34.0%
Perf. 3M: -22.0%
Perf Ytd: -31.1%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -16.2%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -35.5%
Financing issue 28/02/2024

Securing the financing needs

With the issuance of bonds, the details of which are given below, the group is securing its short-term financing. We will integrate this new financing in our model. Depending on a number of assumptions (partial or total conversion, interest paid, cash repayments, etc.) our target is price is likely to go down, even if the upside will remain significant in any case.


Fact

The group has announced an issue of 70 amortizable bonds convertible into new stock with a nominal value of €100,000, for an amount of €7m, waiving preferential subscription rights.


Analysis

The initial investment or First Tranche of €7m may be supplemented by a Second Tranche of a maximum amount of €5m on Crossject’s initiative and subject to compliance with certain conditions. In particular, Crossject must have received authorization from the FDA to deliver the first units of ZEPIZURE to the Strategic National Stockpile under the contract between Crossject and BARDA.
For the First tranche, the convertible bonds may be converted into new ordinary stocks at an initial ratio of 19,420.5 stocks per convertible bond, i.e. a conversion price of €5.5 per ordinary stock.

The number of new stocks that may be issued under the convertible bonds (1st tranche) is between 1,359,434 and 7,816,6665. The convertible bonds bear a 7% interest yearly. All in all, the maximum dilution could be c.18% (first tranche) or 27% (tranche 1+2) depending on a number of assumptions on the amortization if the bonds (see below).

This move secures the financing of the group at least partly for FY24 and, as such, is good news. The interest paid also looks acceptable at this stage of the group’s development. That said, the market seemed to be more interested in the dilution with the share price down by c. 15% yesterday. It is also important to keep in mind that this issue comes on top of the current funding by BARDA (for $6.7m invoiced over 2023 out of a maximum overall budget of $32m), for the advanced development of Zeneo Midazolam.

On the negative side, the potential dilution has obviously played a role in the fall in the share price, as did investor regret that the Group did not, or could not, have recourse to secured bank debt. For each tranche, the amortization schedule of the convertible bonds is provided for at the rate of 17 equal payments every 2 months, from the 4th month following the date of issue, payable according to the company’s options: in cash for an amount equal to 102% of the amount due or in new ordinary stocks issued, the value of which is equal to 85% of the market Value of the stocks in a given period of time: in short, the dilution may start taking place as of June this year.

Lastly, the issue is the use of these bonds which the investors tend to dislike with a number of examples where share prices have remained under pressure for a long period of time.


Impact

We will factor this new financing into our model. Depending on a number of assumptions (partial or total conversion, interest paid, cash repayments, etc.) our target is price is likely to go down, even if the upside will remain significant in any case.


Updates

28 Feb 24 Financing issue
Securing the financing needs

08 Feb 24 Strategic Plan
No news is not always good news...

03 Jan 24 Other news/comments
A new distribution agreement in Northern Europe

27 Mar 23 EPS change
No real news in the FY22 results.

23 Mar 23 Earnings/sales releases
FY22: not much to learn from the release

26 Sep 22 EPS change
Minor changes after H1 22

23 Sep 22 Earnings/sales releases
A rather reassuring H1 22

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