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Drone Volt

CR
Bloomberg   ALDRV FP
Aerosp. & Defence Equipt.  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
From distributor to service provider.
Target
Upside 147%
Price (€) 0.01
Market Cap (€M) 14.0
Debt

At the end of 2019, the company’s net debt amounted to just over €5m, compared to €2.5m a year earlier and a net cash position of €276,000 in 2017. Over the period 2017 to 2019, net gearing went from -4% to 58%. This increase in debt was mainly created by the acquisition of Aerialtronics in 2017, as well as the financing of the restructuring of this entity, which we estimate to be close to €4m at the end of 2019.

To finance itself, as well as its acquisition, Drone Volt has mainly used a funding line through the issue of bonds convertible into shares with share subscription warrants (OCABSA and ORNANE) between 2016 and 2019. At the end of 2019, and in order to limit shareholders’ dilution from convertible bonds, the company has diversified its funding sources through the issuance of a €1.7m bond, carrying a 12% coupon.

In 2020, Drone Volt continued to diversify its funding sources (by obtaining a €500,000 state-guaranteed loan) and strengthened its capital through three capital increases for a total of c. €3.7m (of which €411,000 in March and €2.16m in May to refinance 90% of the ORNANE issued in 2019 and €1.1m in June). In addition, Drone Volt secured two new financings for a total of €20.4m, of which a €10m financing in August 2020 through an equity line contract (€1.6m drawn down) as well as a €10.2m OCABSA (fully undrawn) with ATLAS in September 2020.

By Q1-2023 the equity lines had been fully used at a high dilution cost but the prospects of fast-declining cash consumption helped envisage less costly future funding. The Aquiline mishap had only a limited cash cost but led to a balance sheet reset wherein shareholders funds plunged from €39m in 2021 to €15m in 2022 after the amortisation of receivables and of the equity interest in Aquiline.

Funding - Liquidity
  12/22A 12/23E 12/24E 12/25E
EBITDA €th -2,799 -2,810 536 5,016
Funds from operations (FFO) €th -3,886 -2,049 785 4,205
Ordinary shareholders' equity €th 17,818 23,067 22,971 23,886
Gross debt €th 4,858 5,010 5,810 6,310
   o/w Less than 1 year - Gross debt €th 848 500 800 800
   o/w 1 to 5 year - Gross debt €th 4,010 4,510 5,010 5,510
 + Gross Cash €th 1,261 6,803 8,044 10,049
 = Net debt / (cash) €th 3,597 -1,793 -2,234 -3,739
Bank borrowings €th 3,921 4,117 4,323 4,539
Issued bonds €th 295 795 1,095 1,395
Financial leases liabilities €th 167 97.0 350 350
Other financing €th 475 0.95 42.1 26.0
Gearing (at book value) % 0.36 3.91 -8.77 -12.5
Equity/Total asset (%) % 90.2 118 120 128
Adj. Net debt/EBITDA(R) x -1.29 0.64 -4.17 -0.75
Adjusted Gross Debt/EBITDA(R) x -1.79 -1.82 11.1 1.29
Adj. gross debt/(Adj. gross debt+Equity) % 22.0 18.2 20.5 21.3
Ebit cover x -45.9 -21.6 -7.14 12.6
FFO/Gross Debt % -77.5 -40.0 13.2 65.2
FFO/Net debt % -108 114 -35.1 -112
FCF/Adj. gross debt (%) % -154 -135 -34.3 23.3
(Gross cash+ "cash" FCF+undrawn)/ST debt x -7.64 -0.21 7.51 14.4
"Cash" FCF/ST debt x -9.13 -13.8 -2.54 1.88
Credit Risk
Covenants
Changes to Story : 29/01/2024, Changes to Forecasts : 29/01/2024.