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Drone Volt

CR
Bloomberg   ALDRV FP
Aerosp. & Defence Equipt.  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
From a low-margin distributor to a high-margin service provider.
Target
Upside 86.0%
Price (€) 0.01
Market Cap (€M) 13.8
Perf. 1W: -1.54%
Perf. 1M: -8.57%
Perf. 3M: -15.8%
Perf Ytd: -36.0%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -5.10%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -10.1%
DCF Change24/09/2021 11:06

Major contracts pushes to the right

Change in DCF€ 0.37 vs 0.42-11.4%

Drone Volt has signed major contracts in H1, one firm contract concerning 600 Hercules 2 drones of an estimated real value of €2.4m and one flexible contract concerning 500 Hercules 20 drones and 200 Hercules 10 drones of a catalogue value of €15m (we estimate a real price of €9.5m). Drone Volt is currently ramping-up its production of Hercules 2 drones to honour its firm contract before the second. Its production rate is currently 40 drones a week and it is expected to rise to 60 drones by the end of the year. As its priority is the Hercules 2 contract, we were clearly too optimistic on the fulfilment of the mega contracts involving the Hercules 20 and 10. We are estimating this second contract to represent €1m in FY21 vs €1.9m previously. While this has not changed our fundamental view as the drones that are not delivered this year would be delivered later on, we have added a degree of caution on the calendar which impacts the DCF.



Updates

20 Oct 21 Earnings/sales releases
Q3 21: strong contract execution, as promised

19 Jul 21 Earnings/sales releases
H1 21: strong growth in revenues, promising H...

12 Jul 21 Target Change
More shares, less debt

31 May 21 DCF Change
Major Contracts to double sales

19 Apr 21 EPS change
COVID-19 delays profit and growth

22 Jan 21 Earnings/sales releases
Q4 20: sharper COVID-19 impact though the dy...

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