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Drone Volt

CR
Bloomberg   ALDRV FP
Aerosp. & Defence Equipt.  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
From a low-margin distributor to a high-margin service provider.
Target
Upside 86.0%
Price (€) 0.01
Market Cap (€M) 13.8
Perf. 1W: -1.54%
Perf. 1M: -8.57%
Perf. 3M: -15.8%
Perf Ytd: -36.0%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -5.10%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -10.1%
Target Change16/07/2024 11:00

Lower profitability incorporated

Change in Target Price€ 0.01 vs 0.02-36.0%

Our target price has been reduced due to the peer-based metrics having been impacted by a lower EBITDA forecast for 2024 and the lack of net profits until 2026 vs 2025 previously. Moreover, this lower EBITDA generation has reduced our DCF-derived valuation, further reducing the target price. Finally, we incorporate the new capital increase with an oversubscription thesis resulting in 19% dilution.



Change in DCF€ 0.02 vs 0.03-23.3%

Due to the lower forecasted EBITDA generation in 2024 than we had previously expected, we have reduced our EBITDA forecasts accordingly for the years ahead, especially after the H1 results which showed a lower gross margin on the distribution side especially (7% vs 10% previously). Our FCF for 2024 onwards are affected as we have not modified our growth assumptions for the out years.



Updates

16 Jul 24 Target Change
Lower profitability incorporated

12 Jul 24 Earnings/sales releases
H1 24: Encouraging trajectory

26 Jun 24 Latest
Eurosatory takeways

19 Apr 24 Earnings/sales releases
Drone Volt on the move

26 Mar 24 Earnings/sales releases
Drone Volt ready for new growth phase

30 Jan 24 Earnings/sales releases
New annual sales record and new capital incre...

20 Oct 23 Earnings/sales releases
Ambivalent Q3 results

18 Sep 23 Earnings/sales releases
H1 23: the beginning of the awaited resurrection

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