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Swissquote Group Holding

CR
Bloomberg   SQN SW
Internet banking/Fintech  /  Switzerland  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
Suited for all market seasons
Target
Upside 8.83%
Price (CHF) 252.6
Market Cap (CHFM) 3,872
Perf. 1W: -2.09%
Perf. 1M: 7.40%
Perf. 3M: 23.5%
Perf Ytd: 23.5%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: 3.51%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: 3.93%
Opinion change23/03/2021

All on the 2024 guidance

Change in OpinionAdd vs Reduce

Change in EPS2021 : CHF 7.46 vs 6.55+13.8%
2022 : CHF 8.56 vs 6.73+27.1%

Following FY2020 and the communication of a new guidance for both 2021 and 2024, we have (sharply) adjusted our EPS. 2020 was supposed to be an exceptionnal year for Swissquote but from our discussions with management, it appears that 2020 is actually a game-changer for Swissquote. Hence, the very bullish guidance communicated by management for the coming years. Management indeed expects a 15% growth in revenues and a 23% increase in pre-tax profit for 2021. It expects CHF500m revenues and CHF200m pre-tax profit for 2024. The development of Swissquote at the international level and the trading of crypto-currencies are among the reasons for this guidance. At the same time, new accounts opening ytd remains buoyant vs 2020. Management therefore expects about CHF5bn/year new net money until 2024 (vs CHF3bn previously). We wrote a Latest on Monday, 22 March, detailing the guidance.



Change in NAVCHF 134 vs 86.4+55.2%

Our NAV is based on a three-year average pre-tax profit. As we have (sharply) increased our expectations for the coming years, it therefore positively impacts the NAV as well.



Change in DCFCHF 166 vs 117+42.0%

As we have (sharply) increased our pre-tax profit for 2021, 2022 and 2023, the DCF is mechanically increased as well (we have not changed other hypotheses in terms of long-term growth).



Updates

10 Aug 22 Earnings/sales releases
Revenue decreased but client growth is pure dr...

17 Mar 22 Earnings/sales releases
A record year punctuated by diversification to ...

13 Jan 22 Earnings/sales releases
Buy the dip

06 Aug 21 Earnings/sales releases
Good numbers, increase in guidance, modest ...

17 Jun 21 Opinion change
Impressive again

16 Jun 21 Latest
Incredible numbers...

23 Mar 21 Opinion change
All on the 2024 guidance

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