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Dolfines

CR
Bloomberg   ALDOL FP
Engineering-Heavy Constr.  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
Capital increase to bring some order
Target
Upside 319%
Price (€) 0.01
Market Cap (€M) 3.78
Perf. 1W: 17.7%
Perf. 1M: 77.3%
Perf. 3M: -29.6%
Perf Ytd: 90.0%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -7.59%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: 86.3%
Opinion change08/09/2020

Change in OpinionAdd vs Buy

Change in Target Price€ 0.69 vs 0.93-25.6%

Following the H1 update, we have lowered our estimates for oil & gas activities and now see FY20 revenues of €4.8m vs €5.3m previously and FY21 revenues of €5.3m vs €7.3m previously. While the newsflow is undoubtedly positive in renewables, the current retreat in drilling activities impacts our valuation.



Change in EPS2020 : € -0.12 vs -0.16ns
2021 : € -0.08 vs -0.03ns

2020 is down due to the revision in the Audit & Inspection division (Factorig) with revenues at €2.6m vs €3.5m previously. 2021 is down due to revision in the Audit & Inspection division (Factorig) with revenues at €3m vs €3.7m previously as well as in the New Energies division (Dolfines New Energies) as we shift the commercialisation of the floater from 2021 to 2022. The lower estimates at Factorig is justified by our cautious stance on the recovery of investments in oil & gas.

Note that, as we shift the commercialisation of the floater by one year, we have also delayed the issuance of €4m of debt from 2020 to 2021. This therefore reduces the interest expenses and impacts positively the EPS for 2020 (despite our negative revision in oil & gas).



Change in NAV€ 1.25 vs 1.45-13.9%

The NAV is down on higher net debt (as a result of the lower estimates for FY20), as well as a lower valuation of the Factorig division (down by 10% to €6m) which is justified by the lower estimates for the division in 2020 and 2021.



Change in DCF€ 1.13 vs 1.38-18.2%

The DCF is down on our lower estimates for 2020 and 2021 in oil & gas activities.



Updates

27 Apr 21 Earnings/sales releases
FY20: expanding services into wind

07 Feb 21 Other news/comments
Green bond issued, contract in oil & gas

12 Nov 20 Other news/comments
Another partnership to keep the momentum up

30 Oct 20 Earnings/sales releases
H1: a semester to forget in oil activities

07 Oct 20 Other news/comments
Focus stays on floater, rig inspection rebounds

17 Sep 20 Other news/comments
Name change to highlight development in rene...

28 May 20 Earnings/sales releases
FY19: revenues decline, positive environment i...

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