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Gaussin

CR
Bloomberg   ALGAU FP
Engineering-Heavy Constr.  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
Pioneer in green-powered closed space mobility but troubled by operational scares
Target
Upside 238%
Price (€) 0.25
Market Cap (€M) 11.0
Debt

At the end of 2021, Gaussin had c. €30m in gross debt and €16m in net debt. Of this €30m, €13m was due within a year, €17m between 2-5 years and the remainder after 5 years. By type of borrowing, €22m came from bank borrowings, €2m in lease liabilities, and the remainder in other liabilities. The company also raised about €12m by issuing new shares in June 2022.

Going forward, we expect the company to raise more funds in 2023 to scale up its expansions. This funding is crucial for the company to continue its scaling up and is expected to come from both debt and equity instruments. As these measures will lead to the issuance of new shares, we provisionally allowed for 11.5 new shares issued at €2.7/share (€40m fresh equity).

Funding - Liquidity
  12/22A 12/23E 12/24E 12/25E
EBITDA €M -14.1 12.7 18.6 26.1
Funds from operations (FFO) €M -20.9 6.19 12.2 19.9
Ordinary shareholders' equity €M 4.75 1.43 7.80 17.8
Gross debt €M 34.5 60.0 58.0 53.0
   o/w Less than 1 year - Gross debt €M 7.62 11.0 10.0 12.0
   o/w 1 to 5 year - Gross debt €M 19.9 24.0 25.0 21.0
   o/w Beyond 5 years - Gross debt €M 6.98 25.0 23.0 20.0
 + Gross Cash €M 10.2 29.7 22.6 17.4
 = Net debt / (cash) €M 24.3 30.3 35.4 35.6
Bank borrowings €M 17.8 20.0 20.0 20.0
Issued bonds €M 5.78 22.0 21.0 19.0
Financial leases liabilities €M 9.26 8.00 8.00 8.00
Other financing €M 1.64 10.0 9.00 6.00
Gearing (at book value) % 425 1,906 421 199
Equity/Total asset (%) % 13.1 3.86 16.0 30.3
Adj. Net debt/EBITDA(R) x -1.72 2.38 1.91 1.36
Adjusted Gross Debt/EBITDA(R) x -2.92 5.12 3.39 2.22
Adj. gross debt/(Adj. gross debt+Equity) % 89.7 97.8 89.0 76.5
Ebit cover x -19.7 0.56 2.59 5.05
FFO/Gross Debt % -50.5 9.52 19.3 34.3
FFO/Net debt % -85.8 20.5 34.4 56.0
FCF/Adj. gross debt (%) % -69.5 -7.58 -8.19 -0.25
(Gross cash+ "cash" FCF+undrawn)/ST debt x -2.44 2.26 1.74 1.44
"Cash" FCF/ST debt x -3.65 -0.45 -0.52 -0.01
Credit Risk
Covenants
Changes to Story : 03/11/2023, Changes to Forecasts : 03/11/2023.