AlphaValue Corporate Services
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IDI

CR
Bloomberg   IDIP FP
Holding Companies  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
A smart bet in Private Equity Markets
Target
Upside 44.3%
Price (€) 67
Market Cap (€M) 482
Benchmarks Current multiplesWeightValues (€)Upside 
NAV/SOTP per share   55%10151%
Dividend Yield Peers 4.7% 20%84.526%
DCF (Edit and simulate)  10%70.55%
P/E Peers 7.9 x 10%134100%
P/Book Peers 0.6 x 5%75.713%
Target Price  100%96.744% 
Valuation matters

The basis of our valuation starts with the NAV, which is estimated as an aggregate of the individual valuations of the participations in the portfolio, segmented in IDI’s two operating pillars, Private Equity Europe and Private Equity Emergents. IDI has seen its discount to NAV decrease substantially, from over 50% to just above 30%. We still believe there is significant upside, as IDI’s conservative asset valuation has been proven through successful disposals, where exit prices often exceed the fair value retained in the NAV.

Being a pure-play investment company with no consolidated activities outside the parent and IdiCo, the DCF is not particularly elucidating when it comes to valuing this type of holding company structure. As a result, the DCF primarily reflects the dividend flows from investee companies, as trying to estimate cash entries from potential disposals seems too vague an exercise given IDI’s investment profile, which is not subject to fund liquidation schedules like the majority of its private equity peers. This flexibility was illustrated during the COVID-19 pandemic, when IDI postponed disposals amid unfavourable market conditions, rather than being forced to exit investments at depressed valuations.

Regarding the peer metrics valuation, the approach is much more clear-cut. We base it on a group of family-type holding companies with a control/hands-on style in the management of the underlying assets. Many of the above hold assets in their respective portfolios that follow a service-based focus, which supports added-value ambitions and recurring-revenue generation, setting them apart from more commoditised and, hence, cyclical peers. The yield-based valuation remains supportive, with IDI offering a higher prospective dividend yield than its peers.

Comparison Based Valuation
Computed on 18 month forecastsMcap (€M]P/E (x)P/Book (x)Yield(%)
Peers ratios 34.6 0.72 3.75
IDI's ratios 7.95 0.64 4.73
Premium -33.0% 0.00% 0.00%
Default comparison based valuation (€) 134 75.7 84.5
Bolloré 10,593 37.60.462.59
GBL 9,292 47.40.796.59
Ackermans & van Haaren 8,727 13.61.331.85
Corporacion Financiera Alba 5,312 21.50.931.10
Wendel 3,520 24.01.026.46
Kinnevik Investment 1,810 -6.510.820.00
DCF Valuation Per Share Help View DCF history
WACC % 8.68
PV of cashflow FY1-FY11 €th -97,374
FY11CF €th -16,859
Normalised long-term growth"g" % 2.00
Sustainability "g" % 1.55
Terminal value €th -236,4...
PV terminal value €th -102,8...
PV terminal value in % of total... % 51.4
Total PV €th -200,2...
Avg net debt (cash) at book v... €th -100,7...
Provisions €th -1,300
Unrecognised actuarial losses... €th 0.00
Financial assets at market price €th 604,871
Minorities interests (fair value) €th 0.00
Equity value €th 506,708
Number of shares Th 7,189
Implied equity value per share € 70.5
Sustainability impact on DCF % 1.39
Assessing The Cost Of Capital Help
Synthetic default risk free rate % 3.50
Target equity risk premium % 5.00
Tax advantage of debt financ... % 25.0
Average debt maturity Year 5
Sector asset beta x 1.04
Debt beta x 0.00
Market capitalisation €th 481,638
Net debt (cash) at book value €th -126,3...
Net debt (cash) at market value €th -126,3...
Company debt spread bp 0.00
Marginal Company cost of debt % 3.50
Company beta (leveraged) x 0.83
Company gearing at market v... % -26.2
Company market gearing % -35.6
Required return on geared eq... % 7.66
Cost of debt % 2.63
Cost of ungeared equity % 8.68
WACC % 8.68
DCF Calculation Help
  12/25A 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E Growth 12/29E
Sales €th   20,209 21,219 22,280 23,239 2.00% 23,704   
EBITDA €th   -10,553 -11,295 -11,564 -11,842 2.00% -12,079   
EBITDA Margin %   -52.2 -53.2 -51.9 -51.0 -51.0   
Change in WCR €th   -22,083 283 409 549 2.00% 559   
Total operating cash flows (pre tax) €th   -41,163 -11,013 -11,154 -11,294 -11,520   
Corporate tax €th   -673 -3,143 -3,218 -3,218 2.00% -3,282   
Net tax shield €th   -24.3 499 499 499 2.00% 509   
Capital expenditure €th   -162 -94.0 -94.0 -94.0 2.00% -95.9   
Capex/Sales %   -0.80 -0.44 -0.42 -0.40 -0.40   
Pre financing costs FCF (for DCF purposes) €th   -42,022 -13,751 -13,967 -14,107 -14,389   
Various add backs (incl. R&D, etc.) for DCF... €th     
Free cash flow adjusted €th   -42,022 -13,751 -13,967 -14,107 -14,389   
Discounted free cash flows €th   -42,022 -13,751 -12,852 -11,943 -11,209   
Invested capital €   554 609 669 735 750   
NAV/SOTP Calculation
 % ownedValuation technique Multiple used Valuation at 100%
(€th)
Stake
valuation
(€th)
In currency per share
(€)
% of gross assets
Private Equity Europe 100% AlphaValue valuation 511,030 511,030 71.1 77.4%
Private Equity Emergents 100% NAV 37,450 37,450 5.21 5.67%
Other 111,940 15.6 16.9%
Total gross assets 660,420 91.9 100%
Net cash/(debt) by year end 65,751 9.15 9.96%
Commitments to pay
Commitments received
NAV/SOTP 726,171 101 110%
Number of shares net of treasury shares - year end (Th) 7,189
NAV/SOTP per share (€) 101
Current discount to NAV/SOTP (%) 33.7 View history

Changes to Story : 13/10/2026, Changes to Forecasts : 13/10/2026.