AlphaValue Corporate Services Fundamental Analysis FR
Back to
AlphaValue Corporate Services
This research has been commissioned and paid for by the company and is deemed to constitute an acceptable minor non-monetary benefit as defined in MiFID II

Keyware

CR
Bloomberg   KEYW BB
Smart Cards-Security  /  Belgium  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
From hardware provider to fintech specialist
EPS change15/06/2017

Update following the Q1 17 results

Change in EPS2017 : € 0.24 vs 0.26-5.57%
2018 : € 0.25 vs 0.28-9.27%

Following the Q1 17 results, we have updated our forecasts for the coming years. Our top-line estimate for 2017 is downgraded from €20.7m to €20.2m, mainly due to a cut in the Terminals business (-7.2% yoy vs. -3% previously) in the light of a difficult Q1. In addition, we now see growth of 9.7% in 2018 vs. 12.2% previously, in order to reflect a progressive recovery in the Terminals business.

Despite improvements in both segments, the bottom-line mechanically suffers from the higher share of Authorisations in the mix, for which the gross margin is much lower than Terminals.



Change in DCF€ 2.48 vs 2.78-10.9%

The DCF is negatively impacted by the top-line downgrade, which translates into a lower cash generation, despite unchanged long-term parameters.



Target
Upside 101%
Price (€) 1.00
Market Cap (€M) 22.4
Perf. 1W: 2.05%
Perf. 1M: -7.01%
Perf. 3M: 48.5%
Perf Ytd: 19.9%
10 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -1.41%
20 day relative perf. to stoxx600: -8.67%
Updates
.